Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 23.10.2026, 22:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNot before 2027 97.6%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Prognostiker
43
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet16. Okt. 23, 07:49 UTC31. Dez. 26, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsManifold Monthly Active Traders at end of 2027
Manifold MarketsOmen/Presagio reaches 5,000 active traders or $25M in 30-day volume before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsMercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3
KalshiLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiRegeln
other = before 2024
- Will look at the stat page.
- If it reads 100k, resolves to the relevant bucket.
- I don't plan on doing detective work if it's manipulated.
- Having said that, if a considerable amount of traffic is fraudulent (e.g., 20%) I will possibly delay resolution to make necessary adjustments for blatant-bulk-manipulation.
- I'm not excluding alts, 10 person bot farms, whatever
