Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 62.8%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet21. Sept. 25, 12:51 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active traders?
Manifold MarketsManifold Monthly Active Traders at end of 2027
Manifold Markets[@mattyb’s 500th market spectacular] Will Bitcoin reach $500k before this market reaches 5k traders?
Manifold MarketsWill I reach 5k unique traders by EOY?
Manifold MarketsWhat price will Bitcoin hit in October?
PolymarketWill Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that before January 1st 2027 Omen/Presagio achieves any one of the following on Gnosis Chain:
- Users: In any rolling 30-day window, ≥ 5,000 unique wallets executed at least one filled buy/sell trade on an Omen/Presagio market and each such wallet had ≥ $100 USD-equivalent cumulative trading volume in that window; OR
- Volume: In any rolling 30-day window, total trading volume ≥ $25,000,000 USD-equivalent across Omen/Presagio markets.
- Scope & definitions
- “Omen/Presagio markets” means markets accessible via the official Omen and/or Presagio front-ends (or their clearly announced successors) that use the Gnosis Conditional Tokens + FPMM stack on Gnosis Chain.
- Testnets and unrelated forks are excluded.