What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000?
One-OffWissenschaftSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Born in 2030 21.9%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet2. Jan. 24, 16:47 UTC1. Jan. 00, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
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PolymarketRegeln
Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.
- They don't have to be basic unmodified humans, but there should be a wide agreement that yeah, that person is still alive in some form.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Born in 2030 mit 22% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? entschieden?
- What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? soll am 1. Januar 3000 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.