PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 1
Entschieden: 14.09.2026, 10:46
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
1
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
87%
KonsensWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 14.09.2026, 21:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
1100%
20%
30%
1Gewonnen
0Verloren
2Verloren
3Verloren
4Verloren
5Verloren
more than 5Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiMajor volcano eruption in 2026?
KalshiWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
- This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded.
- If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude.