What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes (X-risk, dystopias, utopias, in-between outcomes, status quo outcomes)?
KI
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
A. Death by paperclips, eternal torment of all humans by AI, or similar unalignment catastrophe. 38.6%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
63
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet25. März 23, 10:00 UTC1. Jan. 01, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Buy/sell these outcomes to the probabilities you consider appropriate.
- Mar 25, 6:05am: What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes? → What are the probabilities of these AI outcomes (X-risk, dystopias, utopias, in-between outcomes, status quo outcomes)?