Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.8%
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet21. Feb. 24, 16:21 UTC2. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOut of these AI researchers, who is the smartest?
Manifold MarketsWill "You're an AI Expert – Not an Influencer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI Winter between 2022 and 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Refer to the winners of @/singer/who-are-the-top-10-ai-researchers-a
- This market resolves YES if one of the 10 winners of the above market claim that we are in a "winter" for AI at any time before 2028.
- Here are the names:
- Ilya Sutskever
- Andrej Karpathy
- Yoshua Bengio
