Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.3%
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18
Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
20. Jan. 26, 19:54 UTC19. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump be impeached before Jan 20th 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada become the 51st US state before Jan 20th, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if the US uses force or the threat of force to take control of the island by the end of Trump's second term.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Edge cases will be decided by me in accordance with the outcome most closely matching the spirit of the question.