Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 04:02 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.5%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert4. Jan. 25, 19:50 UTC21. Jan. 29, 00:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between the armed forces of the United States and Mexico before January 20, 2029.
- Resolution criteria:
- Must involve official government forces (ex. uniformed military, national guard, or police acting in an official capacity, not private militias or individuals)
- Must include exchange of fire or direct combat operations
- Must result in the creation of a wikipedia page, with a table indicating at least 10 total casualties or losses and with the USA and Mexico as belligerents on opposing sides, and that page must remain up for at least a week.
- (ex. this page)
