Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
WirtschaftOne-OffMacro & Economy3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90.8%
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Veraltet30. Mai 25, 20:04 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Manifold MarketsUnemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2029
KalshiMexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiUnemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2030.
- Source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)
- https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment
- Context: The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.
- 2035 market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/unemployment-rate-for-recent-us-col-zQPLNstLPp
Offene Märkte
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 358.610,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.773 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 548.346,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 29.818,9 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.724 €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.694,1 €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 310.341,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6532,2 €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? entschieden?
- Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2030.