KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 4.1% 29%-2.0ptFührend unter 23 Optionen
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1362,3 €
Liquidität
11.626,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
15. Dez. 25, 15:00 UTC2. Okt. 26, 12:29 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.6% in September 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 91 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 569.721,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 47.363,9 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 359.180,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 16.442,1 €
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 314.673,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9494 €
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Unemployment rate in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Exactly 4.1% mit 29% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Unemployment rate in Sep 2026? entschieden?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026? soll am 2. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Unemployment rate in Sep 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Unemployment rate in Sep 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.