KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 4.2% 77%Führend unter 23 Optionen
Marktqualitat
55 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
368,3 €
Liquidität
3851,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
15. Dez. 25, 15:00 UTC4. Dez. 26, 13:29 UTC
Trends
0%
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExSeptember Unemployment Rate
PolymarketRegeln
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 97,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,8 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 702.460,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 91.038,4 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 399.989,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34.473,1 €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.300,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4885,8 €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Unemployment rate in Nov 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Exactly 4.2% mit 77% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? entschieden?
- Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? soll am 4. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Manifold Markets gelistet.