KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 4.2% 20%Führend unter 23 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
2650,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
15. Dez. 25, 15:00 UTC6. Nov. 26, 13:29 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiFed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExSeptember Unemployment Rate
PolymarketRegeln
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt64%
- No change-10.0pt35%
- 50+ bps increase+0.4pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 96,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5,2 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 656.198,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 85.076,7 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 385.978,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 25.595,7 €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-10.0pt80%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-20.0pt60%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-6.0pt30%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29.365,2 €
KALSHIState of the economy at the end of 2026
- Soft landing-5.7pt50.5%
- Overheating+11.8pt44.8%
- Stagflation-2.6pt2.9%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- US government budget balance in 2026
- US real GDP growth in 2034?
- China unemployment rate in August
- GDP growth in 2026
- Recession this year?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Exactly 4.2% mit 20% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? entschieden?
- Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? soll am 6. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Manifold Markets gelistet.