Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 68.3%
Prognostiker
29
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
17. Feb. 26, 10:27 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUnemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhich EU country will have the highest unemployment rate?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
PolymarketUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if FRED's Unemployment Rate - College Graduates - Bachelor's Degree, 20 to 24 years (CGBD2024) is higher on average from January to December 2026 (inclusive) than from January to December 2025.
- If certain months are missing, they are ignored when calculating the average.
- The averages will be calculated using the series' values whenever the first entry for 2027 is released, so revisions before this date count, but any subsequent revisions do not.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 358.610,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.773 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 548.346,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 29.818,9 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.724 €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.694,1 €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 310.341,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6532,2 €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 68% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026? entschieden?
- Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if FRED's Unemployment Rate - College Graduates - Bachelor's Degree, 20 to 24 years (CGBD2024) is higher on average from January to December 2026 (inclusive) than from January to December 2025.