Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJune 30th 36.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet26. März 26, 07:17 UTC31. Dez. 26, 08:17 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PolymarketPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves to https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730
- Based on the ratio of the 7 day moving average to the one from the year prior on the listed date.
- If the ratio is >1, resolves to 100%.
- On the named outcome, let's say the 7 day moving average was reported to be 14 and the one from the year prior is 100.
- Then this option resolves to 14%.
- I will round to the nearest percentage point.