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Daten vom 23.07.2026, 04:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJune 30th 36.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Tagen
Veraltet26. März 26, 7:1731. Dez. 26, 8:17
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
April 30th5%
Volumentrend
$2522. Juli2T Daten23. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
0 €Ja: 6%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,8 Mio. €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
595.551,9 €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
47.086,1 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?
8012,1 €Ceasefire: 27%KALSHI
KALSHIWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4658,2 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Resolves to https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730
- Based on the ratio of the 7 day moving average to the one from the year prior on the listed date.
- If the ratio is >1, resolves to 100%.
- On May 31st, let's say the 7 day moving average was reported to be 14 and the one from the year prior is 100.
- Then this option resolves to 14%.
- I will round to the nearest percentage point.