Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Will Syria be Democratic? 28.6%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
39
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
9. Dez. 24, 22:54 UTC1. Jan. 27, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketWill the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Syria by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Syria has been embroiled in a complex civil war since 2011.
- Recent developments include the overthrow of Assad's government and the emergence of new leadership under Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), an Islamist group that has announced plans for a transitional government and free elections.
- The country faces significant challenges in establishing stability and governance while managing various ethnic, religious, and political factions.
- Resolution Criteria
- Markets will resolve based on the following criteria as of December 31, 2026:
- Secular: Resolves YES if Syria's constitution and legal system explicitly separate religion from state governance.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Predictions about Syria in 2026?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Will Syria be Democratic? mit 29% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Predictions about Syria in 2026 entschieden?
- Predictions about Syria in 2026 soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Predictions about Syria in 2026 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Syria has been embroiled in a complex civil war since 2011.