PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
October 31 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
October 31 3%Führend unter 4 Optionen
October 31 3%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
11.342,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
826 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
October 31Spread
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Kommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-0.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 40 Minuten
18. Aug. 26, 22:51 UTC31. Okt. 26, 20:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
August 31Verloren
September 15Verloren
September 30Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · October 31
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Houthis target Syria by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Jordan by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Iraq by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target the United Arab Emirates by which date?
PolymarketWill the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Syria through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Damascus time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Syria.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.