Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseClaude Fable 5.5 93.7%+1.7ptFührend unter 24 Optionen
Prognostiker
72
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+43.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 20:09 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
PolymarketWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
KalshiTop AI model this month
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES for each AI model that receives an official public release during October 2026.
- A release counts as available to users if it is widely made available through official channels (API, web interface, download, or official partnership).
- Subvariants are model releases that share the same tier name (e.g., Flash Preview, Flash Live, Flash Instant, Flash Image all count for "Gemini 3.1 Flash"; 5.5-Thinking, 5.5-Instant, 5.5-Nano, 5.5-Pro all count for "GPT5.5").
- Releases with a distinct tier name (Flash-Lite, Flash, Pro as a separate tier, etc.) do NOT count for an adjacent tier, even within the same model family.
- When in doubt, I'll use the official model name the company uses to classify it.
- Please ask for clarifications.