New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when?
3.6 Pkt. (24h)GeopolitikOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope5MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore Mar 2027 75.1%-3.6ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+14.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet27. Juli 26, 15:05 UTC28. Feb. 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRussia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
PolymarketWill Kazakhstan experience mass mobilization, for any reasons, before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels.
- Must be called "mobilisation" by the Russian government (possibly with extra adjectives") OR use the same legal structure a general mobilization would use as it's main legal background.
- This market resolves purely based on announcements/admissions by the Russian government.
- Elections are scheduled in Russia for September 20th and the rumour us mobilization will be announced after.
- Shorter time horizon (i.e. mobilization shortly after elections):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AIBear/russia-announces-mobilization-befor)Update 2026-04-07: the previous update was wrong.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 581.272,5 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 96.847,5 €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Before Mar 2027 mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when? entschieden?
- New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when? soll am 28. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels.