Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Helped with >80% confidence 64.1%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet30. März 23, 02:17 UTC1. Jan. 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
https://time.com/6266923/ai-eliezer-yudkowsky-open-letter-not-enough/
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 267.332,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 95.554 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt69.2%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.3pt10.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.0pt72%
- December 15,+4.5pt65%
- November 30,-7.0pt44%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.65%+4.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.55%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 272.022,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+8.0pt99%
- Above 24%+6.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 211.089,8 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best AI this week
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Helped with >80% confidence mit 64% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances? entschieden?
- In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://time.com/6266923/ai-eliezer-yudkowsky-open-letter-not-enough/