Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?
WirtschaftOne-OffChinaEurope
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 52%
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binary
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet9. Mai 23, 17:22 UTC1. Jan. 52, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketIn which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-china-still-be-controlled-by-t) Otherwise it resolves the same as this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-chinas-gdpppp-per-capita-catch)
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.703 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.726,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.726,9 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 612.533,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6886,5 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5285,2 €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 52% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? entschieden?
- Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? soll am 1. Januar 2052 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes