Conditional on China Not Supplying Arm to Russia in 2023, will China invade Taiwan before the end of 2028?
GeopolitikOne-OffRussland / UkraineChina2J
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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 16:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Nein 77.2%
Nein 77.2%Prognostiker
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Aktualisiert vor 57 Minuten
Verzogert1. März 23, 02:28 UTC31. Dez. 28, 15:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China invade Taiwan before the end of Ukraine-Russian war?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan before 2029?
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Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves, no later than end of 2028, with criterion identical to the first market below, with the exception that, if the second market resolves to something other than No, this market will resolve to N/A immediately.
- In the case that the invasion occurs before end of 2023, this resolves N/A. (https://manifold.markets/embed/mrb/will-china-invade-taiwan-before-the)(https://manifold.markets/embed/footgun/will-china-supply-arms-to-russia-in)