KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
18.360,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.4% / 5.7%
Spread
2.3 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
18. Dez. 25, 01:00 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Ghislaine Maxwell still be alive on January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsPresident Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?
FutuurAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:BBCNBCThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, the person is released from government custody when they are no longer subject to physical detention or imprisonment imposed by any government authority.
- This includes release from prisons, jails, detention centers, immigration facilities, military detention, or any other form of government-imposed physical confinement at a government-run facility.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-7.0pt73%
- September 18-7.0pt68%
- September 11-11.5pt59%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 413.209,7 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+0.6pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.5pt80%
- Yes-4.5pt20%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 263.969,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt49.6%
- October 31+0.5pt29.1%
- September 30+1.0pt12%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 62,7 Mio. €
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? entschieden?
- Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.