KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: At least 20 (99%)
Entschieden: 23.06.2026, 14:34
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
At least 20
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
—
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAt least 20 99%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
23.375,9 €
Liquidität
180.545 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Tagen
Veraltet15. Juni 26, 17:157. Juli 26, 16:45
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
At least 2099%
At least 601%
At least 802%
1%
2%
99%
98%
99%
99%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· At least 20
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 99% | — | 23.375,9 € | 180.545 € | vor 20 Tagen | |
 Polymarket75% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 3795,9 € | 0 € | vor 19 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
0.5 ptsGeschlossen
+0.7pt100%
+9.4pt100%
-0.5pt0%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
17 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen3,7 Mio. €
24h-Volumen3795,9 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 20 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$26.6k2. Juli6T Daten7. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
2023,8 €At least 60: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 Mio. €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
694.642,3 €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
531.133,9 €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
92.465,1 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
36.136,9 €Above 50: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 20 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.