Adoção

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027

0.8 pt (24h)2m

Sim4%-0.8pt

Não96%

Criptos relacionadas

BTC

Qualidade média (69)Spread apertadoContratos em aberto: altoPerto da resolução

Volume total198,1 mil US$

Volume 24h10,3 US$

KALSHI

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2m

Sim5%

Não95%

Criptos relacionadas

BTC

Baixa qualidade (≤49)Spread apertadoLiquidez médiaPerto da resolução

Volume total65,3 mil US$

Volume 24h—

POLYMARKET

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

2m

Sim1%

Não99%

Baixa qualidade (33)Spread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso

Volume total21,6 mil US$

Volume 24h—

POLYMARKET

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2m

Sim45%

Não55%

Criptos relacionadas

BTC

Baixa qualidade (30)Spread desconhecidoLiquidez desconhecidaMercado raso

Volume total9,9 mil US$

Volume 24h—

LIMITLESS

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

1m

Sim8%

Não92%

Criptos relacionadas

BTC

Baixa qualidade (30)Spread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso

Volume total391,2 US$

Volume 24h—

FUTUUR

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

2m

Sim9%

Não91%

Baixa qualidade (32)Spread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso

Volume total154,1 US$

Volume 24h—

FUTUUR

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

2m

Sim4%

Não96%

Criptos relacionadas

BTC

Referencia CoinRithmNão97%· 2 pt de dispersao entre venues

Baixa qualidade (32)Spread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso

Volume total25 US$

Volume 24h—

FUTUUR

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

4d

Sim64%

Não36%

Previsão da comunidade11 previsoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

3a

Sim50.1%

Não49.9%

Previsão da comunidade15 previsoresTipo: binary

há 2 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

4a

Sim11.3%

Não88.7%

Previsão da comunidade9 previsoresTipo: binary

há 57 minutos

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

2a

Sim47.9%

Não52.1%

Previsão da comunidade3 previsoresTipo: binary

há 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

3a

Sim65.5%

Não34.5%

Previsão da comunidade22 previsoresTipo: binary

há 12 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Before 204766.2%

Before 204459%

Before 203250%

+4 mais resultados

Previsão da comunidade2 previsoresTipo: multiple choice

há 2 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

1a

Sim27.9%

Não72.1%

Previsão da comunidade14 previsoresTipo: binary

há 4 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

3a

Sim8.5%

Não91.5%

Previsão da comunidade9 previsoresTipo: binary

há 2 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How long will my career be?

2036-204513%

2046-205513%

2056-206513%

+5 mais resultados

Previsão da comunidade1 previsoresTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

2042-204719.6%

2048-205319.6%

2054-206019.6%

+3 mais resultados

Previsão da comunidade2 previsoresTipo: multiple choice

há 4 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

4a

Sim52%

Não48%

Previsão da comunidade326 previsoresTipo: binary

há 2 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

3a

2030 or later62.8%

202956.9%

202851.5%

+3 mais resultados

Previsão da comunidade4 previsoresTipo: multiple choice

há 6 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

2m

Sim52.5%

Não47.5%

Previsão da comunidade3 previsoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

3a

Sim10.1%

Não89.9%

Previsão da comunidade3 previsoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

3a

Sim20.7%

Não79.3%

Previsão da comunidade4 previsoresTipo: binary

há 17 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

9a

Sim47.5%

Não52.5%

Previsão da comunidade4 previsoresTipo: binary

há 3 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

4a

Sim57.1%

Não42.9%

Previsão da comunidade5 previsoresTipo: binary

há 57 minutos

MANIFOLD MARKETS

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

4a

Sim33.2%

Não66.8%

Previsão da comunidade4 previsoresTipo: binary

há 12 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

1a

Sim45.2%

Não54.8%

Previsão da comunidade5 previsoresTipo: binary

há 2 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

4a

Sim55%

Não45%

Previsão da comunidade6 previsoresTipo: binary

há 11 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

1a

Sim7.5%

Não92.5%

Previsão da comunidade6 previsoresTipo: binary

há 2 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

2a

Sim25%

Não75%

Previsão da comunidade7 previsoresTipo: binary

há 11 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

4a

Sim85.5%

Não14.5%

Previsão da comunidade8 previsoresTipo: binary

há 3 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

8a

Sim59.9%

Não40.1%

Previsão da comunidade8 previsoresTipo: binary

há 57 minutos

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

4a

Sim15.3%

Não84.7%

Previsão da comunidade8 previsoresTipo: binary

há 17 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

2a

Sim31%

Não69%

Previsão da comunidade8 previsoresTipo: binary

há 11 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

2m

Sim49.2%

Não50.8%

Previsão da comunidade9 previsoresTipo: binary

há 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

3a

Sim57.3%

Não42.7%

Previsão da comunidade9 previsoresTipo: binary

há 11 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

4a

Sim79%

Não21%

Previsão da comunidade9 previsoresTipo: binary

há 11 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

4a

Sim38.3%

Não61.7%

Previsão da comunidade10 previsoresTipo: binary

há 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

1a

Sim41.4%

Não58.6%

Previsão da comunidade10 previsoresTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

8a

Sim18.7%

Não81.3%

Previsão da comunidade11 previsoresTipo: binary

há 3 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

2m

Sim3.8%

Não96.2%

Previsão da comunidade12 previsoresTipo: binary

há 3 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

2m

Sim9.9%

Não90.1%

Previsão da comunidade12 previsoresTipo: binary

há 2 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

3a

Sim59.9%

Não40.1%

Previsão da comunidade13 previsoresTipo: binary

há 3 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

13a

Sim82%

Não18%

Previsão da comunidade14 previsoresTipo: binary

há 57 minutos

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2m

Suriname22.9%

Kazakhstan14%

Cabo Verde10.9%

+26 mais resultados

Criptos relacionadas

BTC

Previsão da comunidade64 previsoresTipo: multiple choice

há 15 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

4a

Sim88.8%

Não11.2%

Previsão da comunidade14 previsoresTipo: binary

há 17 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

2m

Sim17.9%

Não82.1%

Previsão da comunidade17 previsoresTipo: binary

há 3 horas

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

13a

Sim5.4%

Não94.6%

Previsão da comunidade16 previsoresTipo: binary

há 57 minutos

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

1a

Sim6.2%

Não93.8%

Previsão da comunidade17 previsoresTipo: binary

há 1 hora

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos Cripto Relacionados

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

How long will my career be?

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

Mercados principais