Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?
One-OffAdoptionTecnologia1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65.3%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado26/06/26, 18:16 UTC30/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between June 26, 2026, and October 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, I successfully convince an individual whom I know or met in person (IRL) to create a Manifold Markets account and follow my profile.
- To resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:
- The individual must be someone I have interacted with in person (not an online-only contact).
- They must register a new Manifold Markets account and follow my profile during the specified timeframe.
- I will post the username of the referred user in the market comments to provide verification.
Mercados abertos
AdoptionKALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+5.3pt9%
- Volume total
- € 159,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 350,7
KALSHIFinance AI adoption in September
- Above 73%88%
- Above 73.25%0%
- Above 73.5%0%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 172,1
- Volume 24h
- € 172,1
POLYMARKETOver 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- € 18,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,3
KALSHIHealthcare AI adoption in September
- Above 43%87%
- Above 43.5%0%
- Above 43.75%0%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 43
- Volume 24h
- € 43
POLYMARKETUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- € 52,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,1
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?
- No84.6%
- Yes15.4%
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- —
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 65% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? é resolvido?
- Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria