Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 82% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 82%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 13 horas

Desatualizado

2/03/24, 10:09 UTC1/01/40, 22:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

The goal is to predict when the adoption S-curve of share of electric car sales will reach its steepest point.

This will be based on the data provided by OurWorldInData.
The current graph is shown below:
[image]The steepest point is currently 2020-2021 (9% - 4%) = 5%. 2021-2022 has achieved the same steepness.
The final change that will be included in the resolution is 2029-2030.
If this change or any of the previous changes is the largest over the entire curve the market will resolve YES.