PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31 9%-6.0ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
461,3 €
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
2
Variação 7d
-6.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado24/03/26, 0:131/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.313021° N, 36.925497° E in Serhiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 9% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Russia capture Serhiivka by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.313021° N, 36.925497° E in Serhiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.