PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualDecember 31 47%+7.0%
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2 mil €
Liquidez
7,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
46.0% / 48.0%
Spread
4.3%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
24/07/26, 19:0531/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
December 3147%
Tendência de volume
$2.2k24 de jul.3d de dados26 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
8,7 mil €December 31: 47%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by which date?
4,9 mil €September 30: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Lyman by which date?
3,6 mil €December 31: 51%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Year of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia
135,7 €2025: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?
21,9 €US Company and/or NASA: 16.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
2,3 mil €Before Jan 20, 2029: 37%
KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Sberbank to Launch Off-Chain Crypto Trading System in December Under Russia’s New Digital Asset LawBlockchain Reporter
Sberbank Plans Crypto Trading by December as Russia Tightens Market RulesBlockchain Reporter
Sberbank sets Dec. 1 deadline for Russia crypto trading launchCrypto News
EU adds HTX to Russia sanctions list, barring transactions starting Aug. 23The Block
Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecryptRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.410003° N, 37.102845° E in Vodianske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.