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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31
December 31 6%+0.5%
Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

2,2 mil €

Liquidez

24,8 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

0.4% / 0.7%

Spread

75.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-0.7%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

5/01/26, 21:2230/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
March 31
March 31
0%

Resultado escolhido

December 316%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If those areas are not simultaneously shaded red by the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The relevant municipalities in Donetsk Oblast that must be simultaneously captured in their entirety are: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske, and Sviatohirsk.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If those areas are not simultaneously shaded red by the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The relevant municipalities in Donetsk Oblast that must be simultaneously captured in their entirety are: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske, and Sviatohirsk.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.