PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Aguardando resolução verificada
A CoinRithm aguarda uma liquidação confirmada pelo provedor antes de tratar este mercado como resolvido.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 9 de set. de 2026, 01:56 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
September 15 100%+57.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
65 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
15,9 mil €
Liquidez
50 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
99.1% / 100.0%
Spread
0.9 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado3/09/26, 14:59 UTC30/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
September 15100%
September 30100%
100%
100%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.