Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
16.0 pts (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 65.3%-16.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
338,2 €
Liquidez
465,8 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
24.0% / 45.0%
Spread
21.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
5
Variação 7d
+16.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
31/03/26, 19:44 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
- For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
- Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
- Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.