US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
35.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaMiddle East1d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 82.2%+35.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
893,1 €
Liquidez
517,2 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
74.0% / 91.0%
Spread
17.0 pt
Spread amploComments
2
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
21/08/26, 20:2524/08/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between market creation and August 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran.
- Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
- Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify.
- The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
