Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)RegulamentaçãoOne-OffTrade PolicyPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição10d
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 58%
Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
443,9 €
Liquidez
1,5 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
42.0% / 45.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
1/08/26, 14:001/09/26, 3:59
Tendências
Regras
If the President announces a new trade deal before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New York TimesBloombergthe White Housethe Office of the United States Trade RepresentativeReutersAssociated Pressthe President of the United States
- For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
- Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
- It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
- New arrangements include, but are not limited to:
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 58% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the President announces a new trade deal before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
