US announces another yen intervention by which date?
FedOne-OffForeign ExchangeBonds & TreasuriesUS PoliticsMacro & Economy3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 22:31 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31, 40%
Qualidade do mercado
25 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
371,2 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
5.0% / 31.0%
Spread
26.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
3/09/26, 00:02 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context.
- The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
- Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
- Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
Mercados abertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- € 3,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 45,5 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- € 997 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 41,2 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US announces another yen intervention by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31, em 40% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US announces another yen intervention by which date? é resolvido?
- US announces another yen intervention by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como US announces another yen intervention by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.