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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Economia
  3. UK Recession in 2026?
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

2.0% (24h)EconomiaOne-Off9m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 47%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

93,9 €

Liquidez

1,7 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

45.0% / 48.0%

Spread

6.7%

Spread moderado
Variação 7d

+8.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

23/04/26, 22:3231/03/27, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes47%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
  • Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
  • This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
  • Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,922.92+2.63%EthereumETH$1,656.90+1.91%SolanaSOL$65.45+2.98%

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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

793,4 €
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Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

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Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.69%XRPXRP$1.12+0.67%BNBBNB$599.72+2.64%CardanoADA$0.1658+3.43%HyperliquidHYPE$55.73-0.67%LitecoinLTC$42.53+0.85%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
  • Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
  • This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
  • Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.