PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 90%-4.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
933,8 €
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
9.0% / 11.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
3
Variação 7d
+2.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
23/04/26, 22:25 UTC31/03/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+5.0pt83.2%
- No change-5.0pt15.8%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 131,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mi
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- € 3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 19,7 mil
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.3%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.0%+1.0pt98%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.2%+8.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt99%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 87,2 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- € 655,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,7 mil
KALSHI2026: Trump's dream year?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- € 499,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,6 mil
- Recession in 2027?
- US recession by end of 2026?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Unemployment in September
- How many jobs added in September?
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de UK Recession in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 90% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando UK Recession in 2026? é resolvido?
- UK Recession in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2027.
- Como UK Recession in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.