GeminiDados verificados limitadosAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 27 de jul. de 2026, 04:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atualSim 8.5%
Qualidade do mercado
19 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
4.0% / 13.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
4/03/26, 11:441/02/27, 4:59
8.5%
O trading simulado não está disponível para este mercado.
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral100% de correspondência · auto | Alta | 11% | 0pt | 2,7 mil € | 710 mil € | há 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta página | Baixa | 9% | -2pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 16 minutos |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Recession this year?
6m
89%
11%
85 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidez
Volume total2,6 M €
Volume 24h2,7 mil €
KALSHIRegras
Recession this year?
- If there are two consecutive quarters of negative U.S.
- GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Mercados Relacionados
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,2 mil €Above 3.2%: 89%KALSHI
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US real GDP growth in 2026?
7,4 mil €0.1% to 0.5%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,8 mil €Soft Landing: 60%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
1,4 mil €Sim: 48%KALSHI
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UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1,1 mil €0-1%: 55%POLYMARKET
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Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
438,5 €Sim: 2.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Regras
Recession this year?
- If there are two consecutive quarters of negative U.S.
- GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.