KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 87%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
11,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
11.0% / 13.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
19/12/24, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will WHO declare a global health emergency not directly based on epidemic concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRecession this year?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next US recession start?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2026?
LimitlessRegras
If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:International Monetary Fund
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,8 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 548,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,7 mil
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 17,7 mil
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 310,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027??
- A Kalshi cota No em 87% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.