LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados verificados limitadosProbabilidade implícita atualSim 10.9%
Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
-
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 minutos
7/01/26, 16:441/02/27, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes11%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral79% de correspondência · auto | Média | 88% | +76pt | 335,9 € | 16,9 mil € | há 22 minutos | Abrir → |
| LimitlessEsta página | Baixa | 89% | +77pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 22 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondência · verificado | — | 88% | +76pt | — | — | anteontem | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
US recession in 2026?
5m
88.4%
11.6%
Previsão da comunidade134 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Polymarket
US recession by end of 2026?
6m
88%
12%
52 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploLiquidez média
Volume total1,5 M €
Volume 24h335,9 €
POLYMARKETRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met:
- The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q2 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive), as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
- The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point during 2025 or 2026, with the announcement made by the time the BEA releases the advance estimate for Q4 2026.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that advance estimates will be considered.
- For example, if upon release, the advance estimate for Q3 2025 was negative, and the Q2 2025's most recent, up-to-date estimate was also negative, this market would resolve to "Yes".
- If on December 31, 2026 the latest estimate for quarterly GDP in Q3 2025 was negative, this market will stay open until the Advance estimate of Q4 2026 is published, at which point it will resolve to "Yes" if Q4 2026 was negative or if the NBER declares a recession by then.
The resolution source will be the official announcements from the NBER and the BEA’s estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly US real GDP from previous quarters as released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$0.006 de jul.21d de dados26 de jul.
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Notícias Relacionadas
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met:
- The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q2 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive), as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
- The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point during 2025 or 2026, with the announcement made by the time the BEA releases the advance estimate for Q4 2026.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that advance estimates will be considered.
- For example, if upon release, the advance estimate for Q3 2025 was negative, and the Q2 2025's most recent, up-to-date estimate was also negative, this market would resolve to "Yes".
- If on December 31, 2026 the latest estimate for quarterly GDP in Q3 2025 was negative, this market will stay open until the Advance estimate of Q4 2026 is published, at which point it will resolve to "Yes" if Q4 2026 was negative or if the NBER declares a recession by then.
The resolution source will be the official announcements from the NBER and the BEA’s estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly US real GDP from previous quarters as released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product