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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Middle East
  3. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

0.4% (24h)One-OffMiddle East3d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 1%
Qualidade do mercado

73 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

1,2 M €

Liquidez

416,3 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

0.5% / 0.6%

Spread

20.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-2.9%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

26/05/26, 5:1615/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes1%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,654.11+2.24%EthereumETH$1,650.53+1.54%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.55%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.54%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%BNBBNB$595.19+1.49%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.