PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
1470+ 33%+7.5ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
918,5 €
Liquidez
8,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-17.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
27/08/26, 22:47 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Sonnet model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet.
- Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants.
- Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
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- Volume total
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
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- Volume total
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
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- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 322,4 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut??
- A Polymarket cota 1470+ em 33% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut? é resolvido?
- Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Sonnet model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.