PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 83.2%+1.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
28,6 €
Liquidez
2,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
17
Variação 7d
+9.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado28/10/25, 15:0131/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- September 30+7.5pt100%
- September 15+11.9pt100%
- September 9+18.4pt100%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 613,3 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+4.3pt96%
- September 30-0.9pt84%
- September 2581%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- September 30-1.0pt96%
- October 31-1.4pt96%
- September 11+43.5pt91%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.1pt65.4%
- ChatGPT+2.8pt15.9%
- Grok-1.7pt9.3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 8,3 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+16.5pt76.8%
- Moonshot-9.8pt13.1%
- Z.ai-6.5pt6.1%
+8 mais resultados
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
- A Polymarket cota No em 83% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? é resolvido?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.