Este mercado foi resolvido: September 21
Resolvido: 21 de set. de 2026, 18:20
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
September 21
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
20%
SurpresaAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 22 de set. de 2026, 16:22 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
September 195%
September 250%
No release by September 3019%
September 170%
September 280%
September 2219%
September 21100%
September 230%
September 240%
September 270%
September 290%
September 300%
September 21Ganhou
On or prior to September 9Perdeu
September 10Perdeu
September 11Perdeu
September 12Perdeu
September 13Perdeu
September 14Perdeu
September 15Perdeu
September 16Perdeu
September 17Perdeu
September 18Perdeu
September 19Perdeu
September 20Perdeu
September 22Perdeu
September 23Perdeu
September 24Perdeu
September 25Perdeu
September 26Perdeu
September 27Perdeu
September 28Perdeu
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LimitlessRegras
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
