How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 31?
12.0 pts (24h)Middle EastOne-OffGeopolíticaTrade Policy7d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
170-189 32.4%+7.0ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
56 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
20,1 mil €
Liquidez
5,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
28/08/26, 22:086/09/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 31, 2026, through September 6, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.