PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 75%
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
112,9 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
11.0% / 39.0%
Spread
28.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
15/09/26, 14:47 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a frontier AI lab removes general public access in the United States to one of its previously publicly available AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Frontier AI labs refers to OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, and Meta, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions.
- Removals by any other company or organization will not qualify.
- A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of the lab's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API.
- Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify.
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 267,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 95,6 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt69.2%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.3pt10.6%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,1 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.0pt72%
- December 15,+4.5pt65%
- November 30,-7.0pt44%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.65%+4.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.55%99%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 272 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+8.0pt99%
- Above 24%+6.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%99%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 211,1 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 mais resultados
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best AI this week
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 75% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026? é resolvido?
- Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a frontier AI lab removes general public access in the United States to one of its previously publicly available AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.