Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado
Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 65%
Previsores
0
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado
16/07/26, 01:51 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Regras
Market title abbreviated for character limit; the full operative title and all binding definitions are in this description.
Audit Motion 002
Will at least one frontier AI company publish recurring organizational governance metrics alongside capability benchmarks, in a single document, on or before 31 December 2026?
Research Thesis
This prediction tests whether frontier AI governance will evolve from policy disclosure toward performance disclosure.
Frontier AI companies now routinely publish governance frameworks, responsible scaling policies, and regulatory compliance documents.
Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31??
A Manifold Markets cota No em 65% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31? é resolvido?
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
Como Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31? é liquidado?
A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Market title abbreviated for character limit; the full operative title and all binding definitions are in this description.