PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 52%
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
78,8 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
20.0% / 76.0%
Spread
56.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
15/09/26, 00:04 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PolymarketWill the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least two frontier AI labs announce a pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Frontier AI labs refers to OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, and Meta.
- A pacing agreement means an agreement under which the parties commit to at least one of the following: conditioning the training, releasing, or deploying AI models on safety requirements; capping the computing power used to train AI models; limiting the rate or extent to which AI systems autonomously train or improve more capable AI systems (recursive self-improvement); or otherwise pausing or slowing the training or release of AI models.
- Agreements announced before market creation will not qualify.
- The labs party to the agreement must each announce it, either jointly or separately, through their official channels or through an authorized representative acting in an official capacity.
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 70,3 mil
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,4 mil
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 21,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 21,9 mil
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 20,9 mil
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 52% em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026? é resolvido?
- Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least two frontier AI labs announce a pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.