Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.1%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado29/10/25, 19:55 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any two of the following AI companies merge by December 31, 2027:
- Google AI (DeepMind)
- Meta AI (Superintelligence Labs)
- A merger is defined as a transaction where one company acquires another, resulting in a single combined entity under unified ownership and control.
- Partnerships, joint ventures, minority stake acquisitions, or talent acquisitions alone do not necessarily count as mergers, however something that clearly constitutes a merger in all but name would count.
Mercados abertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 85,3 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 184,9 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volume total
- € 21,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 20,3 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 mais resultados
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 85% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? é resolvido?
- Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria