PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualOther 51%+3.0%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
100 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
8,5 mil €
Liquidez
229,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
2.0%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+12.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
17/06/26, 23:3028/10/26, 23:59
Tendências
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Other51%
Grandes negociações
$1.1k61.0%Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? — NoHolyMoses7há 8 dias
Tendência de volume
$9.7k2 de jul.12d de dados13 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
877,8 mil €Cut 25bps: 1%
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Fed rate hike in 2026?
115,2 mil €Sim: 60%POLYMARKET
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
32,2 mil €0 (0: 78%POLYMARKET
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Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
28,7 mil €Pause–Pause–Pause: 79%POLYMARKET
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Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
19,9 mil €Above 4.00%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Fed rate hike?
6 mil €Before 2027: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
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The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.