Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

A Myriad cota Gavin Newsom em 40.9% em 10 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 é resolvido?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.

A Myriad liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: ### **Market Dates:**

A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, PredictIt.

MyriadVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados verificados limitados

Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo

Dados de 10 de out. de 2026, 00:38 UTC · política pm-quality-4

Probabilidade implícita atual

Gavin Newsom 40.9%+3.2pt

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Qualidade do mercado

22 / 100

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Volume 24h

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Traders

5,547

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

24/02/26, 14:41 UTC1/01/00, 00:01 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

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Regras

### **Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
### **Resolution Details:**
- Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.