Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 7 de ago. de 2026, 15:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Gavin Newsom 44.3%Líder entre 32 opções
Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaTraders
5,243
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
24/02/26, 14:411/01/00, 0:01
Tendências
Regras
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · 5 plataformas · 3 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election · Gavin Newsom 24%
- Também disponível em Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Também disponível em Gemini — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · AOCA 20%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 21%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20%
- Também disponível em ForecastEx — Will J.B. Pritzker win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028? · No 96%
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 165,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2 mi
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 9,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 947,7 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Volume total
- € 21,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 468,3 mil
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- A Myriad cota Gavin Newsom em 44% em 25 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 é resolvido?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 é liquidado?
- A Myriad liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: ### **Market Dates:**
- Onde mais Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Gemini, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx.