Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 10 de jul. de 2026, 06:13 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Probabilidade implícita atual
Gavin Newsom 48.3%+0.1%Líder entre 32 opções
Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
-
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
24/02/26, 14:411/01/00, 0:01
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Gavin Newsom48%
Comparar plataformas· Gavin Newsom
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral78% de correspondência · auto | Média | 19% | 0pt | 993 mil € | 62 M € | há 11 minutos | Abrir → |
 Kalshi74% de correspondência · auto | Média | 19% | 0pt | 342,6 mil € | 87,7 M € | há 6 minutos | Abrir → |
 Smarkets64% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 21% | +2pt | 0,9 € | 0 € | há 3 minutos | Abrir → |
 MyriadEsta página | Baixa | 48% | +29pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 3 minutos | |
 Limitless78% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 23% | +4pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 4 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets78% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 20% | +1pt | — | — | há 30 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 22% | +3pt | — | — | anteontem | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
-0.4%19%
-0.9%14%
-2.1%10%
+125 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total1,1 mM €
Volume 24h993 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1a
7.1%
20%
6%
+14 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade21 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
-0.1%21.7%
+0.6%11.7%
-0.1%6.5%
+5 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade13 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
23%
13.9%
5.5%
+3 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total10,7 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambém disponível em Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.1%2a
-0.1%0%
-0.1%1%
+0.1%4%
+43 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total128,9 M €
Volume 24h342,6 mil €
KALSHITambém disponível em Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
13.5%
0.1%
2.6%
+19 mais resultados
32 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total9,2 mil €
Volume 24h0,9 €
SMARKETSRegras
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.