MyriadDados verificados limitadosAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 7 de ago. de 2026, 15:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
JD Vance 54.4%Líder entre 32 opções
Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaTraders
4,800
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
24/02/26, 14:331/01/00, 0:01
Tendências
Regras
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm J.D. Vance 44% · 4 plataformas · 3 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Marco Rubio 50%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028? · JD Vance 43%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 44%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 47%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 44%
- Também disponível em Smarkets — Republican Presidential Nominee · JD Vance 42%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee · JVAN 36%
- Também disponível em Gemini — 2028 Republican Nominee for President? · J.D. Vance 43%
Mercados abertos
Politics
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
- A Myriad cota JD Vance em 54% em 25 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 é resolvido?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 é liquidado?
- A Myriad liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: ### **Market Dates:**
- Onde mais Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless, Manifold Markets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Robinhood (Rothera), Gemini.