MyriadProbabilidade implícita atual
JD Vance 67.4%-0.1%Líder entre 32 opções
Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
-
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
24/02/26, 14:331/01/00, 0:01
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
JD Vance67%
Comparar plataformas· J.D. Vance
Ordenado por volume de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMais ativa | 40% | 0pt | 1,3 M € | 41,4 M € | há 13 minutos | Abrir → |
 Kalshi | 41% | +1pt | 96,2 mil € | 31 M € | há 8 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets | 40% | +0pt | — | — | há 7 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 39% | -1pt | — | — | há 9 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 40% | 0pt | — | — | há 9 dias | Abrir → |
| MyriadEsta página | 67% | +27pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 6 minutos | |
 PredictIt | 37% | -3pt | — | — | há 6 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless | 24% | -16pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 6 minutos | Abrir → |
 Smarkets | 38% | -2pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 6 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
49%
+0.1%40%
-0.3%25%
+125 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total587,7 M €
Volume 24h1,3 M €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2a
2.8%
2%
0.1%
+35 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade799 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
Volume total953,3 mil €
Volume 24h2,1 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37%
29%
5%
+11 mais resultados
Retail prediction exchange
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
PREDICTITTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
2a
1.8%
3%
0.5%
+22 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade62 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
Volume total21,5 mil €
Volume 24h102,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
39.4%
27.8%
3.5%
+3 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade19 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
Volume total6,1 mil €
Volume 24h109,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Limitless
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
23.5%
50%
2.9%
+4 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total13,3 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambém disponível em Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee
0.2%2a
+0.2%1%
3%
-1.0%29%
+35 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total44,4 M €
Volume 24h96,2 mil €
KALSHITambém disponível em Smarkets
Republican Presidential Nominee
0.2%
3.3%
0.1%
+24 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total3,7 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSRegras
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.